OCTA: Metro Manila pre-surge numbers possible by end-February
MANILA, Philippines — If the current downward trend keeps up, Metro Manila might see a return to its pre-Omicron surge numbers by the end of February, independent pandemic monitor OCTA Research said Sunday.
In a tweet, OCTA Research fellow Guido David said that the actual numbers being reported have begun to fall well below the group's earlier projections in late January.
"Prospects look good for less than 500 in the NCR by V-Day, and perhaps pre-surge numbers by end of February," he said in a tweet late Saturday night.
RELATED: OCTA: New COVID-19 cases trending downward in NCR, Calabarzon
877 new cases today in the NCR, 11% of national numbers. Actuals are back below Jan 20 projections, which means prospects look good for less than 500 in the NCR by V-Day, and perhaps pre surge numbers by end of February pic.twitter.com/fWOd7SGEpS
— Dr. Guido David (@iamguidodavid) February 5, 2022
On Saturday, Metro Manila made up just 877 of the 7,689 cases nationwide recorded by the Department of Health. Of which, Quezon City and Manila City topped localities once more with 171 and 136 cases, respectively.
The National Capital Region's cases were up and down to start the month of February, but David pointed out that "as we have noted, a high percentage of this is due to backlog."
David said that the new cases in the country of late "have been in line with projections," adding that he expects a further decrease in Sunday afternoon's tally "down to around 6 to 7,000."
The Calabarzon region is also now at moderate risk for the pathogen after Cavite, Laguna, Batangas, Rizal and Quezon recorded negative growth rates in average new cases in the past week, OCTA said earlier.
However, other highly-urbanized cities in the Visayas remain at high-risk despite also observing downtrends across all statistical indicators.
After the capital region, Cebu, Negros Oriental, and Davao del Sur led provinces and regions with 600, 489, and 450 new COVID-19 cases, respectively.
RELATED: OCTA: Downward trends observed in Visayas but still generally high risk
Bite-sized updates on the emerging coronavirus Omicron variant outbreak and third wave of the pandemic in the Philippines. — Photo by The STAR/Miguel de Guzman
The Philippines logged 599 severe and critical COVID-19 patients in hospitals on June 5, DOH sayd.
Out of the 2,632 ICU beds reserved for COVID-19 patients, only 386 (14.7%) were occupied.
From May 30 to June 5, there have been 1,295 new COVID-19 cases in the country. The daily average is now at 185.
Noong ika-5 ng Hunyo 2022, mayroong 599 na malubha at kritikal na pasyente na naka-admit sa ating mga ospital dahil sa COVID-19. Sa 2,632 ICU beds na nakalaan para sa mga pasyenteng may COVID-19, 386 (14.7%) lamang ang okupado. pic.twitter.com/8cVLPYkZUj
— Department of Health (@DOHgovph) June 6, 2022
The National Capital Region remains the region with most new COVID-19 cases as of March 14, 2022, according to data from OCTA Research.
Metro Manila logged 141 new COVID-19 cases on Monday.
Among provinces, Cebu registered the most new cases with 57, followed by Iloilo with 56, Cavite with 23 and Rizal with 23.
Provinces with the most new cases on 3.14.22. Data was extracted from https://t.co/kM89DgrHW7. Any errors in data should be addressed to DOH. @dzbb @allangatus @News5PH @dzrhnews @DZAR1026 @NewsRmn @dzme_1530khz @dwiz882 @ali_sotto @PhilstarNews @manilabulletin @ManilaTimesNEWS pic.twitter.com/Eda9eTFOSA
— Dr. Guido David (@iamguidodavid) March 15, 2022
Among highly urbanized cities in Luzon, Puerto Princesa is the lone city that remains at moderate risk for COVID-19 due to very high testing positivity rate, OCTA Research says.
As of March 6, NCR, Baguio City, Naga City and Santiago were at low risk.
Meanwhile, Angeles, Dagupan, Lucena and Olongapo improved to very low risk.
HUCs in Luzon as of March 6, 2022. Angeles, Dagupan, Lucena, Olongapo at VERY LOW RISK while NCR, Baguio, Naga City, Santiago at LOW RISK. Puerto Princesa still at MODERATE RISK. @dzbb @DZAR1026 @allangatus @NewsRmn @News5PH @dwiz882 @ali_sotto @PhilstarNews @dzrhnews @EagleNews pic.twitter.com/OVqBboB2a1
— Dr. Guido David (@iamguidodavid) March 7, 2022
The Department of Health logs an additional 941 new COVID-19 cases, bringing the national caseload to 3,666,678.
As of Saturday, there are 49,374 active cases.
The Department of Health reports 853 new COVID-19 cases, bringing the national tally to 3,665,747.
To date, there are 50,230 active cases.
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