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OCTA: Downward trends observed in Visayas but still generally high risk

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OCTA: Downward trends observed in Visayas but still generally high risk
Community watchmen kept an eye on those entering Barangay 02 Zone 1 on Layug Street in Pasay City on Monday, Jan. 10, 2022. The area is under granular lockdown due to high occurrence of COVID-19 cases.
The STAR / Michael Varcas

MANILA, Philippines — Independent pandemic monitor OCTA Research observed downward trends in highly urbanized cities in the Visayas but said many areas are still under high risk. 

Bacolod, Cebu City, Iloilo City, and Mandaue are all at very high risk for COVID-19, while Lapu Lapu, Ormoc and Tacloban are at high risk.  

According to OCTA Research, all cities have a positivity rate of at least 24%, which means more than one in every five tests is coming out positive. In Ormoc, three in every four tests are coming out positive. 

At the same time, though, all cities have now registered negative growth rates, which means that the cases have already peaked and have stopped accelerating.

"The peak of the surge already happened in many areas... There are only a few areas where the surge is accelerating," OCTA fellow Guido David said over CNN Philippines. 

"[Omicron] has already caused transmission in many places... It's no longer a major concern since we've attained some level of population immunity against Omicron."

Among the listed urbanized cities in Visayas, only Tacloban has a "low" reproduction number of 0.72. The term reproduction number refers to the number of people one positive case can infect. 

Bacolod, Cebu, Iloilo, Lapu Lapu, Mandaue and Ormoc have reproduction numbers ranging from 1.15 to 1.38. 

With the exception of Mandaue, all cities have a moderate or lower healthcare utilization rate. Mandaue's HCUR of 78% is still classified as high risk.

Of the 9,493 cases recorded by the Department of Health around the country on Tuesday, 638 came from Cebu, 239 came from Negros Occidental, and 229 came from Iloilo.

"Strict compliance with safety protocols [is] advised...wishing the best for Visayas," David also said. — Franco Luna 

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COVID-19 PANDEMIC

As It Happens
LATEST UPDATE: June 6, 2022 - 5:12pm

Bite-sized updates on the emerging coronavirus Omicron variant outbreak and third wave of the pandemic in the Philippines. — Photo by The STAR/Miguel de Guzman

June 6, 2022 - 5:12pm

The Philippines logged 599 severe and critical COVID-19 patients in hospitals on June 5, DOH sayd.

Out of the 2,632 ICU beds reserved for COVID-19 patients, only 386 (14.7%) were occupied.

From May 30 to June 5, there have been 1,295 new COVID-19 cases in the country. The daily average is now at 185.

March 15, 2022 - 10:13am

The National Capital Region remains the region with most new COVID-19 cases as of March 14, 2022, according to data from OCTA Research.

Metro Manila logged 141 new COVID-19 cases on Monday.

Among provinces, Cebu registered the most new cases with 57, followed by Iloilo with 56, Cavite with 23 and Rizal with 23.

March 7, 2022 - 9:16am

Among highly urbanized cities in Luzon, Puerto Princesa is the lone city that remains at moderate risk for COVID-19 due to very high testing positivity rate, OCTA Research says.

As of March 6, NCR, Baguio City, Naga City and Santiago were at low risk.

Meanwhile, Angeles, Dagupan, Lucena and Olongapo improved to very low risk.

March 5, 2022 - 4:40pm

The Department of Health logs an additional 941 new COVID-19 cases, bringing the national caseload to 3,666,678.

As of Saturday, there are 49,374 active cases.

March 4, 2022 - 4:27pm

The Department of Health reports 853 new COVID-19 cases, bringing the national tally to 3,665,747.

To date, there are 50,230 active cases.

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