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Putin's gas threat as Ukraine, West dismiss de-escalation claim

Danny Kemp - Agence France-Presse
Putin's gas threat as Ukraine, West dismiss de-escalation claim
(FILES) In this file photo taken on March 30, 2022, Russian President Vladimir Putin meets with Ingushetia's regional head at the Kremlin in Moscow. President Joe Biden said on March 31, 2022, that Russian President Vladimir Putin may be "isolated" and could have placed some of his advisors under "house arrest."
Mikhail Klimentyev / SPUTNIK / AFP

KYIV, Ukraine — Russia threatened Thursday to turn off its gas taps to Europe, opening up a new front in its war in Ukraine amid growing scepticism over Moscow's claim it is scaling back its onslaught.

Over a month into Russia's invasion of its neighbour, Vladimir Putin's troops have devastated cities like Mariupol with shelling, killing at least 5,000 people in the port city alone. 

But they have struggled to take any significant territory. 

Moscow insisted things were going to plan as it said this week it would scale back attacks on capital Kyiv and the northern city of Chernigiv.

But Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has dismissed the promise as a red herring, and US President Joe Biden said he was "sceptical."

Instead, the US and NATO shared Zelensky's reading that Moscow may be seeking to regroup and resupply for its offensive in the eastern Donbas region.

Russia has moved about 20 percent of its troops from around Kyiv after failing to capture the city, which continues to be targeted by Russian airstrikes, Pentagon spokesman John Kirby said.

"It's not exactly clear where they're going to go," he said, "but we don't see any indication that they're going to be sent home."

He said the "best assessment" is that the troops are "going to be repositioned, probably into Belarus, to be refitted and resupplied and used elsewhere in Ukraine."

He noted that Russia has said it plans to "reprioritize" its operations in the Donbas area.

Putin isolated?

Highlighting Russia's underestimation of Ukraine's dogged defence, Biden said there was some indication that Putin was out of touch with the situation on the ground.

Western intelligence has warned the Russian leader's advisers may be "afraid to tell him the truth" about battlefield losses or the damage that sanctions have wrought on the country's economy.

But Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov rejected the assessments, saying Western officials "don't understand President Putin, they don't understand the mechanism for taking decisions and they don't understand the style of our work".

Biden was notably cautious. 

Putin "seems to be self-isolated and there's some indication that he has fired or put under house arrest some of his advisers," the US president told reporters.

But he said he did not want to put "too much stock" into the reports.

As shells rained down on Kyiv, a Ukraine foreign ministry spokesman accused Russian troops of looting homes as they left one area.

"Electronics, clothes, shoes, cosmetics. This is not an army. This is a disgrace," tweeted Oleg Nikolenko.

Shells also continued hitting the northern city of Chernigiv, where the governor of the region, Vicheslav Chaus, poured scorn on Moscow's claim it was deescalating. 

"At the minimum, it is regrouping," he wrote on Telegram.

The Ukrainian commander in the eastern city of Kharkiv also warned Russian forces were "regrouping to attack."

General Pavlo "Maestro" told AFP his message to the Russian invading force was: "Go home while you're still alive" -- though he warned against underestimating Moscow.

Ukraine did confirm Russian troops had pulled back from the Chernobyl nuclear site after occupying it for weeks -- reportedly taking an unspecified number of captured servicemen with them.

US taps oil stockpile

With his economy crippled by unprecedented international sanctions, Putin on Thursday sought to leverage Russia's status as an energy power, warning that EU members will need to set up ruble accounts from Friday to pay for Russian gas.

The EU has joined the United States in imposing sanctions — however, mindful of their own power needs, the bloc has stopped short of an energy embargo.

"If such payments are not made, we will consider this a breach of obligations on the part of our buyers" and existing contracts would be stopped, Putin said.

Germany, which before Putin's offensive in Ukraine imported 55 percent of its gas supplies from Russia, insisted that it will pay in euros or dollars as stipulated in contracts.

Berlin and Paris were also "preparing" for Russian gas to simply stop flowing, France's economy minister said.

Biden moved to mitigate rising fuel prices by announcing a release from strategic US reserves of a million barrels daily for six months.

It is by far the largest tapping of the stockpiles in US history, and amounts to augmenting global supplies by about one percent.

Pivot to Donbas?

Military experts believe that with thousands of Russian troops killed and many thousands more injured, Moscow has to ditch efforts to advance simultaneously in the north, east and south.

Its focus instead has turned towards capturing more urban centres in the Donbas area including Mariupol, while continuing to fire long-range assaults on other cities.

Russia forces have encircled Mariupol, which the Kremlin wants to capture to link the cities of Donetsk and Lugansk, under de facto Russian control, and the Crimean peninsula.

But a larger push into the Donbas region could herald a more prolonged conflict, Pentagon spokesman John Kirby said Thursday.

"It might not just be a matter of days and weeks, it could be much longer than that," he said.

In Mariupol, where tens of thousands have for weeks been under siege with little water, food or electricity, Ukrainian authorities sent 45 buses in for a new rescue mission.

The international Red Cross said it was "ready to lead the safe passage operation" on Friday. Previous repeated attempts to get civilians out have collapsed.

Zelensky warned his war-torn nation to brace in particular for a new Russian onslaught in the Donbas.

"There is an accumulation of Russian troops for new strikes in Donbas and we are preparing for it," he said in a video message late Wednesday. "We will fight for every metre of our land."

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RUSSIA

UKRAINE

UKRAINE-RUSSIA CRISIS

VLADIMIR PUTIN

VOLODYMYR ZELENSKY

As It Happens
LATEST UPDATE: October 18, 2023 - 10:13am

President Volodymyr Zelensky on Saturday secured Turkey's crucial backing for Ukraine's NATO aspirations after winning a US pledge for cluster munitions that could inflict massive damage on Russian forces on the battlefield.

Washington's decision to deliver the controversial weapons — banned across a large part of the world but not in Russia or Ukraine — dramatically ups the stakes in the war, which entered its 500th day Saturday.

Zelensky has been travelling across Europe trying to secure bigger and better weapons for his outmatched army, which has launched a long-awaited counteroffensive that is progressing less swiftly than Ukraine's allies had hoped. — AFP

October 18, 2023 - 10:13am

Washington's decision to supply Ukraine with ATACMS long-range missiles is "a grave mistake", Russian ambassador to the United States Anatoly Antonov says Wednesday.

"The White House's decision to send long-range missiles to Ukrainians is a grave mistake. The consequences of this step, which was deliberately hidden from the public, will be of the most serious nature," he says in a statement. — AFP

October 15, 2023 - 3:26pm

President Vladimir Putin says Sunday that Russian forces had made gains in their Ukraine offensive including in Avdiivka, a symbolic industrial hub.

"Our troops are improving their position in almost all of this area, which is quite vast," he says in an interview on Russian television, an extract of which was posted on social media on Sunday. "This concerns the areas of Kupiansk, Zaporizhia and Avdiivka." — AFP

October 12, 2023 - 12:48pm

The regional governor says debris from a drone destroyed over the Russian region of Belgorod, which borders Ukraine, fell on homes and killed three people, including a young child.

The air defense system "shot down an aircraft-type UAV (unmanned aerial vehicle) approaching the city", says Governor Vyacheslav Gladkov, adding that the falling debris destroyed several homes.

"Most importantly, three people were killed, one of them a small child," he writes on the Telegram messaging app, accompanied by pictures of a house reduced to a pile of rubble behind red and white police tape. — AFP

October 10, 2023 - 2:18pm

Ukraine's air force says on Tuesday that it had destroyed 27 of 36 Russian attack drones overnight in the south of the country.

Ukrainian forces downed 27 "Shahed-136/131" drones in the southern Kherson, Mykolaiv and Odesa regions, the air force said on the messaging platform Telegram.

In all, Moscow had launched 36 of the Iranian-made drones from the Crimean peninsula, which Moscow annexed in 2014, it says. — AFP

October 6, 2023 - 7:28pm

The Kremlin claims on Friday Russian forces never targeted civilian infrastructure after Ukraine blamed Moscow for a missile attack that killed over 50 people in the eastern village of Groza.

"We repeat that the Russian military does not strike civilian targets. Strikes are carried out on military targets, on places where military personnel are concentrated," Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov says in his daily briefing. — AFP

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