Junjun Davide will definitely win by a landslide

The only question that is left hanging in Cebu's provincial elections ten days from today is whether or not Gwen F. Garcia can really win over Agnes A. Magpale. I'm not sure about Agnes, but I am totally sure about Junjun Davide. With due respect to Daphne Salimbangon and to her dad, who has been an outstanding solon, the vice governor's office is now virtually in the hands of Hilario P. Davide, III. Daphne Salimbangon is a good candidate. She has been doing her best to campaign but Junjun is too much for her. They are not in the same league, Davide is too much of a heavyweight and Dapne is just a flyweight. This is not her time, let us just put it that way.

Gwen Garcia's own survey admits that Davide is leading. Their own survey results say that overall, Junjun Davide will get 55.92 or 56% over Daphne's 44.08%. I think Gwen is right on that but not in the proportion that she conceded to Junjun. My own research and survey indicates that Davide will win by a landslide in all seven congressional districts, except perhaps the third and the fourth districts, for sentimental reasons, it being the district of the Garcias and the Salimbangons, respectively. I predict that Davide will win 65% to 70% overall and Daphne will just manage to get 30% to 35% of the total votes. I can be wrong within a 5% to 7% margin of error only.

Gwen's survey says that Davide will win in the first district with 68.22% of the votes with Daphne's only 31.78%. I would generally concede to that, except that Junjun's vote will not be less than 70%. In Davide's home turf, Gwen concedes that Junjun will get no less than 71.84% while Daphne will get 28.16%. My own survey says that Davide will get no less than 82% and Daphne will be very lucky to get 18%.

The Argawanons and those from the southeast would rather inhibit than vote for the opponent of the hometown favorite. In the Third District, Gwen says that Daphne will beat Junjun with 56.30% with Davide's supposed vote at only 43.70%. I would say Davide may even win but to be conservative, let us say that Daphne will get 51% and Davide 49%.

Let us concede to Gwen's survey that in the Fourth District, Daphne will win over Junjun. That is her home district, after all. But we cannot agree that Salimbangon will get 71% and Davide only 29%. At the very worst for Davide, Daphne will get 62% and Junjun 38%. I have my own process, my own ground operatives and my own factors. I do not believe that in the Fifth District, Salinbangon will get 41.39% and Davide only 58.61%. I think Davide will get no less than 70%. This is the Durano country and the Garcias do not control the Fifth District, except Liloan. The Sixth District, according to Gwen's survey is 61% Davide and 39% Salibangon. I would grudgingly concede to that, but Junjun will get no less than 68%.

In the Seventh District, Gwen says that Davide will get 53.75% and Daphne only 46.25%. I would say that in my home district, Davide will win by no less than 80%. Daphne should be happy if she gets 18%. I know my territory, which happens to be Gwen's too. She is unique, being a child of both Dumanjug and Barili, of both the Third and the Seventh District. In my district, they may vote for both Gwen and Junjun. Sorry, Daphne. The numbers hurt.