1 or 2 more storms expected this year

CEBU, Philippines —  Another one or two tropical cyclones, locally known as “bagyo,” are expected to develop this December and may enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).

The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) forecasted that an average of one or two more disturbances may cross the country’s boundaries before the year ends.

PAGASA-Visayas Chief Alfredo Quiblat, Jr. warned local authorities not to be complacent, since there are still chances of an occurrence of tropical cyclones and disrupt weather conditions here.

While land-falling disturbances may cause devastating impacts to communities or industries such as agriculture, he added.

Quiblat said that based on the station’s monitoring, no formation of tropical cyclones is seen for now.

He advised the public, especially the different disaster units, to be updated of the PAGASA-issued advisories as significant changes in the weather pattern may occur.

Entry of weather disturbances is critical during this period since they are most likely to pass through central or southern Philippines, or the Visayas and Mindanao regions.

The theory is, Quiblat said, the Northeast monsoon (or Amihan) dominates over the country affecting the movement of any approaching weather system.

He said the Northeast winds which originate from the north or mainland China and Siberia blows to the eastern portions of the country pushing the weather systems downwards.

Significantly, tropical cyclones during the end months of the year record higher intensities than the earlier months.

One of the notable disasters is Super Typhoon Yolanda, which was recorded as the strongest disturbance in history that ravaged localities in northern Cebu.

Land-hitting disturbances leave adverse impacts to affected localities such suspension of classes, cancellation of sea travels, and damage to agricultural products, among others.

In a year, an average of 20 tropical cyclones enters the PAR; less than half of it hit the landmass.

PAGASA already recorded at least 20 tropical cyclones this year with Tomas being the recent that only traversed the northeastern boundaries of PAR.

Prior to it was tropical depression Samuel that hit northern tip of Cebu, however, it only brought minimal impact. —  GAN (FREEMAN)