President Donald Trump's 'winter of discontent'

In William Shakespeare's less known drama, entitled Richard III, a character named Gloucester delivered a speech: "Now is the winter of our discontent, Made glorious by this son of York, Plots have I laid, inductions dangerous, By drunken prophecies, libels and dreams.” In a few days, the son of New York is most likely to lose the glory of the US presidency.

Donald Trump, born and raised in the heart of Queens, New York City, is poised to lose again in his own home state and city, heavily by a whopping ratio of 61% for his opponent Joe Biden, and only 29% for himself. This state commands no less than 29 electoral votes, and has had a history of voting Democrats over the last seven presidential elections. In 2016, Hillary Clinton, who also represented this state in the US Senate, won over Trump by a ratio of 59% for herself and only 36% for Trump. This time, Trump's expected defeat in his own home state will be even worse. Pollsters expect Biden to garner 61% percent and Trump only 29%. The blacks, Latinos and Asians, including Fil-Ams will exacerbate his losses in the Big Apple and the Empire State.

In 2012, Barack Obama, the hero and idol of the African-Americans, defeated Mitt Romney in New York, by a more decisive advantage of 63% over that of the GOP's Romney's 36%. In 2008, the first time Obama ran, he got 62% percent over John McCain's 37%. Kerry, in 2004, who lost the presidency to George Bush, managed to win in New York by a ratio of 58% over Bush's 41%. In 2000, Al Gore, in case you have forgotten, won the popular votes nationwide over George Bush, but lost in the Electoral College. Gore got 50,999,897 (48.4%) and Bush obtained 50,456,002 votes (47.9%), or a plurality of more than 450,000. But Bush was awarded 271 electoral votes and Gore only 266. Did you know that Gore won in New York by a ratio of 60% over George Bush's only 35%.

In the presidential polls of 1996, Bill Clinton won his reelection bid over GOP challenger Bob Dole. In New York, Clinton prevailed convincingly by a ratio of 58% over Dole's only 30%. In his first run, in 1992, Bill Clinton defeated George Henry Walker Bush (the father), in New York, by a ratio of 47% for Clinton, with only 29% for Bush. We should remember that all the winners in New York, in the last seven presidential elections were all Democrats, namely Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama (twice), Kerry, Gore, and Bill Clinton (twice). No Republican presidential bet ever won in the Empire State for the last seven presidential polls. So, consistent with trends, Trump cannot win in his own home base this year.

New York is one of the original 13 colonies of Great Britain which formed the USA. It has a population of more than 19 million, two-thirds of whom reside in the city and suburbs of New York City. Its capital is Albany, not New York City. The two US senators, who are both Democrats, are Chuck Schumer and Kristen Gillbrand. Of the 27 members of the US House of representatives representing New York, 21 are Democrats and only six are Republicans. The state governor is also Democrat, Andrew Cuomo, and the lieutenant governor, Kathy Hochul, is likewise Democrat. This is a very Democratic state, and Trump has no chance of winning here.

By the way, this state was named after the Duke of York, in the United Kingdom, the place referred to by Shakespeare, in his 'Winter of Discontent’. Trump will lose in New York, and he will lose the presidency. This will indeed be the winter of his discontent and it is the time that the son of New York shall lose the glory of the presidency.