COVID-19 infections in Philippines may reach 90,000 by end-July â UP researcher
In this July 27, 2020, photo, locally stranded individuals set up camp on the bleachers of the football stadium of the Rizal Memorial Sports Complex in Manila at midnight while they wait for their transport back to their provinces as part of the 2nd batch of the Hatid Tulong program of the government.
The STAR/Miguel de Guzman

COVID-19 infections in Philippines may reach 90,000 by end-July — UP researcher

Bella Perez-Rubio (Philstar.com) - July 27, 2020 - 3:38pm

MANILA, Philippines — A researcher from the University of the Philippines on Monday warned that the number of COVID-19 cases in the country could reach 90,000 by the end of July and 140,000 by the end of August.

Mathematics professor Guido David, a member of the UP OCTA Research group, relayed these amended figures to ABS-CBN after the country on Sunday logged over 2,000 coronavirus cases for the fourth consecutive day.

"Originally, 85,000 was already our upper projection but its possible that we will reach 90,000 [infections] now," he said in Filipino.

David in the first week of July projected 100,000 infections by the end of August but upped that figure by 40,000 on Monday.

He also emphasized that most of the country's new COVID-19 cases are being recorded in Metro Manila which is under a general community quarantine. 

"The trend in Cebu is going down. The curve is being flattened in Cebu. The trend in NCR is going upwards, not just NCR, but Calabarzon as well," he said in FIlipino.

Guido added that while reverting back to an enhanced community quarantine is not an official recommendation of the experts at UP, he says it would help Metro Manila as other measures such as randomized testing and localized lockdowns are not sufficiently curbing the rise in cases.

The health department on July 26 logged 80,448 coronavirus infections.

It has been 132 days since the Philippines was first put under lockdown, marking the longest community quarantine in the world.

Despite the community quarantine and enforcement from police which has resulted in thousands of arrests and has been tagged by lawmakers and rights groups as "overzealous" and "disproportionate," UP researchers have upped their projections for the end of July several times now due to the surge in new cases.

Presidential spokesman Harry Roque has warned that the capital region may revert back to an enhanced community quarantine if COVID-19 cases breach 85,000 by month's end.

As It Happens
LATEST UPDATE: June 18, 2021 - 5:16pm

Other regions and provinces in the Philippines considered moderate and low-risk areas will be placed under general community quarantine starting May 1. Bookmark this page for updates. (Main image by The STAR/Edd Gumban)

June 18, 2021 - 5:16pm

Doctors in General Santos City, which is under a general community quarantine, are appealing to local government to impose a hard lockdown as they deal with a surge of COVID-19 cases.

Dr. Fidel Peñamante, president of the Philippine Medical Association-General Santos chapter, says in a Philippine News Agency report, that the number of patients admitted to COVID-19 referral hospitals doubled in two weeks.

“During the first wave last year, it took three months until we recorded 40 deaths. In the current wave, we reached that number in just one and a half months,” Peñamante says.

June 17, 2021 - 6:53pm

The inter-agency task force on COVID-19 resolves to recommend the mandatory wearing of face shields indoors, such as hospitals, schools, workplaces and commercial establishments.

Presidential spokesperson Harry Roque says while waiting for the decision of President Rodrigo Duterte on the recommendation, the existing policy on the use of face shields will remain.

"The wearing of face shields such stays, such in food establishments, malls and public markets), public transport and terminals, and places of worship," Roque says.

June 17, 2021 - 4:19pm

The DOH logs 6,637 new coronavirus cases in the Philippines, pushing the total to 1,339,457.

  • Recoveries: 4,585 new; 1,257,774 total
  • Deaths: 155 new; 23, 278 total
  • Active cases: 58,407 or 4.4% of total
June 16, 2021 - 4:11pm

Health authorities report 5,414 new COVID-19 cases in the Philippines, pushing the national caseload to 1,332,832.

  • Recoveries: 7,637 new; 1,253,541 total
  • Deaths: 158 new; 23,121 total
  • Active cases: 56,170 or 4.2% of total
April 3, 2021 - 6:11pm

The Lipa City health office logs 69 new COVID-19 infections – the highest in April – raising the total to 2,359.

Among the new infections were four call center agents. The youngest among them was a 22-year-old male agent from Barangay 7, who had cough and fever and previously got exposed to a confirmed COVID-19 positive patient.

Also testing positive was a 23-year-old female agent and 28-year-old female agent, both from Barangay Marawoy. A 28-year-old woman from Barangay Sabang, who had colds and cough, also got infected by the virus.

The said patients are already quarantined while health authorities continue to conduct contact tracing for their close contacts. Lipa City now has 1897 recoveries, with 20 new recoveries reported Friday. This means 80.4% have recovered from COVID, higher than Batangas province’s 45.82% recovery rate. — The Filipino Connection/Marlon Luistro

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