Duterte tops dzRH survey; Chiz leads mobile poll

MANILA, Philippines – Davao City Mayor Rodrigo Duterte topped the latest pre-election survey of the Manila Broadcasting Co. (MBC) and its flagship station dzRH.

Meanwhile, in the latest Bilang Pilipino Social Weather Stations Mobile Survey on voter preferences for vice president, which was commissioned by TV5, Sen. Francis Escudero was the frontrunner.

The MBC-dzRH survey conducted last April 2 had a total of 7,490 respondents nationwide.

Duterte, standard bearer of PDP-Laban, emerged as the top choice for president, garnering 36 percent, followed by Sen. Grace Poe, an independent candidate, with 28.2 percent.

Vice President Jejomar Binay of the United Nationalist Alliance (UNA) obtained 15.3 percent, followed by Liberal Party bet Manuel Roxas II who received 15.2 percent.

Sen. Miriam Defensor-Santiago of the People’s Reform Party got the nod of 3.5 percent of respondents.

It said 1.8 percent were undecided.

 VP derby

 In the vice presidential race, Sen. Ferdinand Marcos Jr. was leading with 29.8 percent, followed by Escudero with 22.6 percent, according to the MBC-dzRH survey.

Sen. Alan Peter Cayetano received 18.4 percent, followed by LP vice presidential candidate Camarines Sur Rep. Leni Robredo with 17.8 percent.

Sen. Antonio Trillanes IV obtained 5.5 percent while UNA’s Sen. Gregorio Honasan received 4.3 percent.

The survey showed that 1.6 percent of respondents were undecided.

Senatorial race

Sen. Vicente Sotto III was still leading the senatorial race with 52.8 percent. He was closely followed by former senator Panfilo Lacson with 51.4 percent.

Former senator Juan Miguel Zubiri got 49.1 percent, followed by Senate President Franklin Drilon with 44.6 percent, Sen. Ralph Recto with 44.4 percent and former senator Francis Pangilinan with 40.7 percent.

Former justice secretary Leila de Lima received 37.4 percent, followed by world boxing icon and Sarangani Rep. Manny Pacquiao with 35.7 percent and former Akbayan party-list lawmaker Risa Hontiveros with 35.4 percent.

Joel Villanueva, former head of the Technical Education and Skills Development Authority, garnered 34.7 percent, followed by former senator Richard Gordon with 33.8 percent, Valenzuela City Rep. Sherwin Gatchalian with 31.7 percent and Sen. Sergio Osmeña III with 30.7 percent.

Sen. Teofisto Guingona III received 23.1 percent, followed by former Metro Manila Development Authority chairman Francis Tolentino with 22.1 percent, former Pampanga governor Mark Lapid with 18.1 percent and Manila Vice Mayor Isko Moreno with 16.9 percent.

SWS-TV5 survey

Meanwhile, the latest Bilang Pilipino Social Weather Stations Mobile Survey conducted on March 31 showed Escudero leading the vice presidential race with 31 percent, up a point from a similar survey conducted on March 22.

Marcos obtained 26 percent, down from 28 percent in the previous poll.

Robrero received 25 percent, up from March 22’s 23 percent, while Cayetano garnered 13 percent, higher than his previous score of 11 percent.

Trillanes, an independent vice presidential bet, got three percent (from four percent), followed by Honasan with one percent (from two percent).

A total of 757 or 63 percent of the 1,200 original panel respondents of the Bilang Pilipino SWS Mobile Survey took part in the poll – 193 in Metro Manila, 179 in balance Luzon, 209 in the Visayas and 176 in Mindanao.

It had sampling error margins of plus or minus four percentage points for national percentages, and plus or minus seven percentage points in Metro Manila, balance Luzon, the Visayas and Mindanao.

By area, class

Escudero was the top choice for vice president in balance Luzon, Marcos dominated in Metro Manila while Robredo was the most favored bet in the Visayas.

In Metro Manila, Marcos obtained 32 percent, followed by Escudero with 30 percent, Robredo with 20 percent, Cayetano with 15 percent and Trillanes and Honasan with two percent each. One percent of the respondents were undecided.

In balance Luzon, Escudero obtained 38 percent; followed by Marcos (31 percent), Robredo (20 percent), Cayetano (eight percent) and Honasan (two percent). None of the balance Luzon respondents chose Trillanes, and two percent were undecided.

Robredo was the top pick in the Visayas with 38 percent, followed by Escudero (28 percent), Marcos (16 percent), Cayetano (14 percent), Trillanes (four percent) and Honasan (one percent). None of the Visayas respondents were undecided.

In Mindanao, Robredo was also the no. 1 candidate, garnering 24 percent. She was followed by Marcos with 23 percent, Escudero with 21 percent, Cayetano with 20 percent and Trillanes with 11 percent. None of the Mindanao respondents chose Honasan, and one percent was undecided.

In urban areas, Escudero was ahead of Marcos (33 percent against 23 percent). In rural areas, Marcos (29 percent), Escudero (29 percent) and Robredo (28 percent) were the top bets.

In class ABC, Robredo was the choice of 31 percent of respondents, followed by Marcos with 28 percent.

In class D, Escudero topped the race with 32 percent, five points ahead of Marcos (27 percent).

In class E, Robredo obtained 31 percent, against Escudero’s 26 percent.

By gender, age 

Among men, Marcos got 29 percent, followed by Escudero (28 percent) and Robredo (24 percent).

Among women, Escudero was the top bet with 34 percent, nine points ahead of Robredo, who obtained 25 percent.

Among those aged 18-24, Escudero was also the most favored candidate (38 percent), followed by Robredo with 22 percent.

Escudero was likewise the favorite candidate of respondents in the 25-34 age bracket (30 percent). He was followed by Marcos with 25 percent.

Among 35-44 age group, Marcos was the top bet with 36 percent and was 11 points ahead of Escudero (25 percent).

Among the 45-54, Escudero obtained 38 percent, 14 points ahead of Robredo (24 percent) and Marcos (24 percent).

Among 55 years old and above, the top choice was Robredo (30 percent), followed by Escudero with 28 percent.

Escudero emerged as the top vice presidential candidate with 38 percent against Robredo’s 21 percent among non-elementary graduates.

Meanwhile, Marcos turned out as the least liked vice presidential candidate as 22 percent of the respondents said that they do not want him to win, followed by Trillanes and Honasan with 13 percent each, Robredo seven percent and Cayetano and Escudero with six percent each.

Numbers consistent

Roxas remains convinced that he is doing well even if he remains a laggard in pre-election surveys.

He said his survey numbers have been consistent and are not that far from those of his rivals.

“I started with four percent while my rivals had 50 percent. Now, all of our scores fall within the line of two and they are ahead only by a few points,” Roxas told reporters in Bayugan City on Monday.

“I think we have a good standing,” he added.

Roxas believes his track record will be his edge in the upcoming elections.

“We have seen the reaction and the reception of our countrymen based on our clean track record and we have a platform that is not based merely on promises,” he added.

Roxas is still trailing in surveys despite the endorsement of President Aquino, who has consistently posted high satisfaction and trust ratings.

Pulso ng Pilipino survey

In another survey called Pulso ng Pilipino conducted from March 16-22 by the Issues and Advocacy Center, Marcos cornered 27 percent vote share, three percentage points higher than that of his closest rival Escudero.

Robredo, on the other hand, got 21 percent; Cayetano, 14 percent, Trillanes, seven percent, and Honasan, five percent.  – With Alexis Romero, Perseus Echeminada