MANILA, Philippines - Eleven senatoriables from Team PNoy and only five candidates under the United Nationalist Alliance (UNA) ticket are likely to win in the May 13 elections, the latest Pulse Asia survey said.
"If the May 2013 elections were conducted during the survey period, 11 candidates from Team PNoy and five from the United Nationalist Alliance (UNA) would be among the probable winners. Most of these are either former or incumbent members of Congress," Pulse Asia said in a statement.
In the survey conducted April 20-22 with 1,800 respondents, Team PNoy's Risa Hontiveros and Ramon "Jun" Magsaysay Jr., who have been both lagging behind in previous surveys, made it to the Top 16.
Hontiveros received 25.8 percent while Magsaysay got 25.6 percent. Both Team PNoy candidates ranked 12-17, kicking out UNA bet and former senator Richard Gordon.
The top six spots were occupied by Loren Legarda (51.5 percent, 1-2), Chiz Escudero (48.3 percent, 1-2), Grace Poe (42.4 percent, 3-4), Alan Peter Cayetano (40.0, 3-7), Cynthia Villar, 37.7 percent, 4-9) and Antonio Trillanes (35.8 percent, 4-10).
The other Team PNoy candidates who made it to the 16 likely winners were Benigno "Bam" Aquino (35.7, 4-10), Koko Pimentel (32.7 percent, 6-12) and Edgardo "Sonny" Angara (31.2 percent, 8-14).
UNA senatoriables who made it to the list were JV Ejercito Estrada (34.7 percent, 5-11), Nancy Binay (34.6 percent, 5-11), Migz Zubiri (29.7 percent, 10-16), Gringo Honasan (27.9 percent, 11-16) and Juan Ponce Enrile Jr. (27.2 percent, 11-16).
Pulse Asia said that levels of support for most of the 16 candidates remained generally unchanged, but five of them "experience a decline in their respective national voter preference."
These candidates are: Binay with a -5.0 percentage points decline in the national voter preference, Enrile (-5.2 percentage points), Cayetano (-8.7 percentage points), Honasan (-8.9 percentage points) and Pimentel (-9.0 percentage points).
Pulse Asia also said that former senators Ernesto Maceda, Jamby Madrigal and Gordon and former Tarlac governor Margarita Cojuangco, who are outside the Top 16, registered "a drop in voter preferences."
The firm also said that based on the latest survey, 6.1 percent or less than one in 10 Filipinos is not inclined to vote for any of the 33 candidates for senator.
"Filipinos are naming a mean of seven and a median of six preferred senatorial candidates (out of a maximum of 12) for the May 2013 elections; only about one in four Filipinos (27%) has a complete senatorial slate as of April 2013, Pulse Asia said. – Camille Diola